As part of their newly-published paper on “Options for Reducing the Deficit“, the Congressional Budget Office has suggested, as Option 12 (at page 130), to “Include All Income That U.S. Citizens Earn Abroad in Taxable Income” — in other words, to eliminate the Foreign Earned Income Exclusion and Foreign Housing Deduction. They estimate that this would bring in US$33.3 billion over the next five years, and US$88.5 billion by 2023 — roughly an order of magnitude more than the US$8.7 billion that FATCA is expected to reap in the course of a decade.
This is the third proposal this year to eliminate the FEIE. Eight months ago, the Congressional Progressive Caucus derided the FEIE as the “Foreign Earned Income Loophole” and claimed that eliminating it would raise US$71 billion over ten years (not clear whether they include the FHD in that number). Days before that, when Dennis Ross (R-FL) presented his own hilariously hypocritical plan to kill the FEIE so that corporations could enjoy territorial taxation, the Joint Committee on Taxation estimated that cutting both the FEIE and the FHD would raise US$36.3 billion over five years. CBO states that they are are using the JCT’s new estimates as updated for 2014.