As Deutsche Welle noted, earlier this week the United Nations Population Division released their report on international migrant stocks for 2015, based on a hodgepodge of sometimes-reliable national-level statistics on either the citizenship of local residents (thus undercounting dual citizens) or their birthplace (thus undercounting Americans born in other countries). Most countries’ figures were based on birthplace.
These statistics put the size of the American diaspora at about 2.8 million, an increase of 320 thousand since five years ago. The State Department, whose estimates attempt to capture children of American emigrants as well as naturalised immigrants who returned to their place of birth or moved to other countries, claimed in 2014 that about 7.6 million Americans live outside of the Homeland, whereas in 2006 they stated that the number was 4 million.
Why are all these hundreds of thousands or millions leaving? Well, a recent article from the Homeland (thanks to Tom Alciere for posting it) made a rather audacious claim, probably because the author is confused about the difference between leaving the country and renouncing citizenship.
Tax laws main reason for US citizens’ decision to move abroad …
When it comes to tax rates, the US is no safe haven. It’s 22.7 percent tax rates makes it the eighth (!) highest in the world. Mexico’s tax rate is 9.5 percent. Few countries can compete with the US when it comes to the notion that the last person entitled to your hard earned money is you. The IRS has it down to a science …
Why would anyone in their right mind willingly leave the US? The most common reasons are tax laws.
In reality, aside from Mexico and Ecuador, all of the countries reporting the largest increases in their U.S.-born/U.S. citizen population in the last five years have larger governments relative to the size of their economies and higher tax burdens than the United States. (As it turns out, most of the people moving to Mexico are kids, who don’t have much choice in the matter.)
This has obvious implications for U.S. diaspora tax policy: even if Washington eliminates the Foreign Earned Income Exclusion, they are obligated by treaty to provide foreign tax credits to emigrants who are paying taxes in treaty countries, and most emigrants who actually have income are also likely to have plenty of FTCs. Thus, the only way Washington can get money out of the diaspora is by fining them, by inventing “income” out of thin air, or by deliberately making their tax system incompatible with that of other countries. And that’s exactly what they’ve been doing.




